start with scouting

Chapter 766 Let us unite against KPI



Chapter 766 Let us unite against KPI
After the Christmas game, one day off, the Kings played against the Lakers at home, with a small victory of 12 points. After two days off, they flew to Los Angeles to challenge the Lakers. They fought hard for four quarters, and finally lost by 1 point. The main loss was that Curry only played 23 points due to foul troubles. minute.

It was just an ordinary loss in a game. As a result, various media reported that if they want to beat the Kings, they must work hard on rebounds. The Lakers won because Westbrook grabbed 17 rebounds, and 6 of them were offensive. rebound.

Hollinger, a data expert who has lost power in the Grizzlies management, specially published a long article pointing out: Aside from back-to-back and foul troubles and other hard-to-quantify factors, the Jazz defeated the King twice this season, and the Cavaliers and Spurs fought against the King until the last moment , The Lakers narrowly beat the Kings, all because they have an advantage in rebounding, and other teams must make full use of rebounds to make breakthroughs.

All kinds of high-level data statistics have greatly raised the reading threshold. The article did not cause too much discussion among fans, and not many coaches and related personnel forwarded it. Instead, it caused dozens of scouts to forward and analyze it, but it did not produce much. intuitive conclusions.

Su Yang led the team and flew back to Sacheng, seeing the discussion among all parties, he silently sighed that it was really cold at the top, there was a slight loophole in the king, and the outside world was discussing and researching like a shark smelling blood, three times in a row The crown is truly an NBA miracle.

Jenkins and other assistant coaches also talked about Hollinger's article in the group. Su Yang bluntly said that there is no need to care about it. What should come will always come. Strategy, so be it.

Taking advantage of the end of the year, the whole team had dinner to celebrate.

During the meeting, Su Yang proposed to share his New Year's resolution. Curry said he wanted to participate in a slam dunk contest. Cousins ​​said he wanted to play a super long three-pointer in the LOGO position. Brogdon said he wanted to have a signature sneaker. Brother said he wanted world peace.

Su Yang made a final speech: "I hope that the NBA's game system can be reformed. In the case of no reduction in income, reduce the number of regular season games, reduce fouls like porcelain, severely punish malicious fouls, make the game more quality, and bring the atmosphere back to life." By the turn of the century…”

Some remarks directly silenced the whole team.

Su Yang also posted because of Hollinger's long article on data analysis.

With the advancement of technologies such as high-speed cameras, 5G networks, and AI learning, things related to the NBA are becoming more and more data-based. From the moment a player participates in the draft, all kinds of data are frantically unfolding around him, and predictions are becoming more and more serious. precise.

For example, the rookie Grant Williams, who had a poor shooting level in college, missed all his first 25 three-pointers after entering the NBA, but the Noahlystics data analysis system, through high-speed camera tracking, judged that Grant Williams is a qualified player. A pitcher, and after accumulating hundreds of games, his three-point shooting percentage has really reached a qualified level.

Such cases are regarded as positive effects.

Of course, discovering strong points at the beginning of the draft may also lead to restricted player development. For example, when the Spurs exchanged Leonard, they must have valued his defensive potential, but if he keeps strengthening his defense, he may not be able to practice. A super attack.

Statistics are prevalent, and the CIC has almost disappeared. Everyone is frantically shooting three-pointers and making fouls frantically.

CIC efficiency is too low.

So much so that allowing most players to make mid-range shots has become a defensive strategy, it was absolutely unimaginable ten years ago.

Although the number of relevant cases is still relatively small,
But in the NBA in the future, it will be difficult to have scenes like the beginning of the century talking about how Iverson is outstanding, how McGrady is pulling up, and how O'Neal is in the low post. Even fans will take the initiative to say: Iverson's single-handed efficiency, Rank XXX in the league.

Everyone pays more and more attention to results and pursues efficiency more and more. The winning or losing of the game has also become the capital of discussion on social media.

"I want to do something in the new year, so that fans and players can enjoy the game better, not all about the results..."

After making up his mind, Su Yang prepared to write an article.

Kekong has ideas, no specific goals, and is stuck.

On the first day of the new year, the Kings faced off against the Trail Blazers. Su Yang specially designed a mid-range shooting tactic to use in the opening offense, but the Trail Blazers were completely unprepared. Center Nurkic subconsciously squatted under the basket and waited. Mu scored in the shot.

Turning to the king's defense, the whole team followed Su Yang's pre-match income and the drop coverage strategy to defend against the pick-and-roll, allowing Lillard to make a mid-range shot, but Lillard really missed the mid-range shot, and forced to choose a more difficult pull-up drop shot. The basketball bounced back with a clatter.

At the end of the game, the Kings defeated the Blazers 113-103. Su Yang checked the statistics and found that the Blazers made 32 of 9 three-pointers. Or, it will be easy.

Writing inspiration follows.

After finishing the press conference, Su Yang took out his mobile phone to record the video, without making a draft, he said directly: "Today's game touched me a lot, I want to talk about a common mistake we make when making strategies based on data analysis, That's the clustering error.

Nowadays, it is prevalent in the league to shoot more three-pointers. Most of the reasons are because some people say that three-pointers are more efficient. Even analysis pointed out that the Kings won consecutive championships because of their extreme efficiency. But I must tell you clearly that it is a kind of Clustering error..."

Between the words, Su Yang pointed out that the king shot more three-pointers because Curry shot three-pointers well, not because he was more efficient in shooting three-pointers. I hope that the children or high school teams who want to imitate will not put the cart before the horse. It is necessary to understand that the efficiency of the three-pointer does not have a causal relationship or law with the outcome of the game. Nowadays, many data analysis samples are still very small.

"Only long enough time can determine whether some data is too random. There are many similar cases outside of the role of three-pointers. For example, scouts have regarded the rookies produced by Syracuse University as difficult Successfully, the rookies produced by Duke University are regarded as relatively easy to succeed, but since Carmelo Anthony, that kind of clustering has been proven to be a wrong conclusion. From that university, for rookies in Developments in the NBA, hardly any impact..."

After the video was released, the AI ​​automatically generated subtitles, Su Yang made the subtitles separately, and sent another tweet.

Woke up early the next morning, and the private messages on Twitter exploded.

It’s not that fans have too many private chats, but that a large number of private messages from scouts thank Su Yang for sharing, and I hope Su Yang can share more, because as the ceiling of the scouting industry, Su Yang’s status is similar to Zhu Yuanzhang’s status among beggars, and his words Almost truth.

"Very good, I hope it will drive the entire league to pay attention to more rookies who are good at three-pointers, and increase the richness of the game..."

Su Yang is very happy in his heart, but he also knows that freezing three feet is not a one-day cold. If you want to increase the richness, you need to do it slowly.

After all, it has been a situation that has been formed for many years from the whole league underestimating three-pointers to crazy three-pointers shooting all over the league.

On the third, the Kings played against the Nuggets at home.

After the pre-match ceremony, Su Yang personally presented the championship ring to Nance Jr., and at the same time played the highlights of Nance Jr.'s consecutive defensive success against the Spurs in G5 on the central big screen, thanking him for his contribution to the king's reversal of the Spurs .

When the game started, Su Yang didn't want to give Nance Jr. a chance, so he arranged for Cousins ​​to do a lot of positional grabbing. Finally, he scored 57 points inside and helped the Kings beat the Nuggets 117-104. Gold is over.

Looking at the statistics alone, the Kings win is very strange. They lost 21 rebounds, including 9 offensive rebounds and 15 free throws. A rebound is useless.

After the game, Hollinger tweeted and mocked.

"Su Yang was reminding everyone not to pay attention to three-pointers the day before yesterday. As a result, tonight, when the King lost 21 rebounds, he made 31 of 16 three-pointers and made the Nuggets' hard work come to naught. I suspect he wants to eat alone..."

The tweet was retweeted and liked by tens of thousands of fans.

Seeing this, Su Yang also forwarded it: "Wrong, the fact is like this..."

(End of this chapter)


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